I guess if I’m going to finalise my predictions before we know the results, it’d better be now. Last time I spoke, I’d ruled out Poland, Norway, Albania, Malta, San Marino, Croatia and Iceland leaving 12 chasing 10 slots.
After reading about the Monday runthroughs at other sites (and this one, of course, with timeless thanks to the tireless 
riigimetnik, I feel that I have to bring Iceland back into play. I may have been hasty about Norway and Albania’s chances, but I’m going to stick to my guns. The other 4 are gone.
That leaves me playing musical chairs with 13 countries – Armenia, Turkey, Serbia, Russia, Switzerland, Georgia, Finland, Hungary, Iceland, Portugal, Lithuania, Azerbaijan, Greece. So what’s obvious in that lot?
RUSSIA, AZERBAIJAN, GREECE look fairly clearly safe.
Armenia, Turkey, Serbia, Switzerland, Georgia, Finland, Hungary, Iceland, Portugal, Lithuania chase 7 seats.
TURKEY, FINLAND, ICELAND, GEORGIA appear to be confident picks, flawless performances of songs which I have doubts about. So I’ll take those four through as well.
Armenia, Serbia, Switzerland, Hungary, Portugal, Lithuania chase 3 seats.
This is where it gets difficult.
I’ll let PORTUGAL drop away. I think they’ve lit up the contest, I’m glad that they’re here, but it’s not a night for them to fly.
I’ll let LITHUANIA go too… I think it may have done very well in the jury final last night, potentially as high as 5th or 6th, but I also think that the televote will kill it stone dead.
Armenia, Serbia, Switzerland, Hungary chase 3 seats.
I can make a case for any of those four being the near-miss in this selection, and I’m going to plump for…
…ummm…
…errr…
ARMENIA‘s not going to make it. Even supporters of the song mostly concede that Emmy made something of a Horlicks of it last night, and if they’re right, the juries will have given the redial brigade too much of a mountain to climb tonight.
So that’s my 10, then – in draw order once again:
TURKEY, SERBIA, RUSSIA, SWITZERLAND, GEORGIA, FINLAND, HUNGARY, ICELAND, AZERBAIJAN, GREECE to qualify.